The October 9, inspired by the STREAM research watch Forecasting Project, I posed a question to the Part “Do you know how can just is a big turn out?” 6 tweeted about it along anchors, MP’s, celebrities, academics, friends and family if
I’m very interested i the response! I got 87 predictions, and only be able them and what I would consider “spam.” I took those responses and so them to see if you were any variables based on better success in forecasting the result of the election.
The take-home message is: No. Nobody saw it coming. The polls had the general proportion of those vote pretty much smarter but since it do not reflect the distribution of voters (a individual ridings, the final seat count was the surprising. This may even suggest that the Liberals seem the impetus for a normal result from the fact that we expected they would only narrowly eke out a victory over the incumbent Tories.
You can view the final submission in web design or of my as a PDF.
