Beep boop I'm the algorithm TRUST ME

On techbros in healthcare and medical research

CW: strong language

My thoughts on the following may change over time, but at least for me, I have found it helpful to think about the threats that techbros pose to healthcare and medical research in terms of the following four major categories. These aren’t completely disjoint of course, and even the examples that I give could, in many cases, fit under more than one. I am also not claiming that these categories exhaust the ways that techbros pose a threat to healthcare.

1. Medical-grade technosolutionism, or “medicine plus magic”

When Elizabeth Holmes founded her medical diagnostics company Theranos, she fit exactly into the archetype that we all carry around in our heads for the successful whiz-kid tech-startup genius. She was not just admitted to Stanford University, but she was too smart for it, and dropped out. She wore Steve Jobs-style black turtlenecks. She even founded her company in the state of California—innovation-land.

She raised millions of dollars for her startup, based on the claim that she had come up with a novel method for doing medical diagnostics—dozens of them—from a single drop of blood. Theranos claimed that the research backing up these claims occurred outside the realm of peer-review. This practice was derisively called “stealth research,” and generally criticized because of the threat that this mode of innovation might have posed to the enterprise of medical research as a whole.

It was, of course, too good to be true. The company has now been shut down, and Theranos has been exposed as a complete fraud. This sort of thing happens on a smaller scale on crowdfunding sites with some regularity. (Remember the “Healbe” Indiegogo?)

I’m not entirely sure what is driving this particular phenomenon.

Maybe it’s that we want to believe in the whiz-kid tech-startup genius myth so much that we collectively just let this happen out of sheer misguided hope that the techbros will somehow save us.

Maybe it’s that there’s a certain kind of techbro who thinks, “I’m a computer-genius. Medicine is just a specialized case that I can just figure out if I put my mind to it.” And there’s also a certain kind of medical professional who thinks, “I’m a doctor. I can figure out how to use a computer, thank-you-very-much.” And when those two groups of people intersect, they don’t call each other out on their bullshit, but rather, they commit synergy.

Or maybe it’s just that the extreme form of capitalism that we’re currently living under has poisoned our minds to the extent that the grown-ups—the people who should know better—are turning a blind eye because they can make a quick buck.

Recommended reading: “Stealth Research: Is Biomedical Innovation Happening Outside the Peer-Reviewed Literature?” by John Ioannidis, JAMA. 2015;313(7):663-664.

2. The hype of the week (these days, it’s mostly “medicine plus blockchain”)

In 2014 I wrote a post on this very blog that I low-key regret. In it, I suggest that the blockchain could be used to prospectively timestamp research protocols. This was reported on in The Economist in 2016 (they incorrectly credit Irving and Holden; long story). Shortly thereafter, there was a massive uptick of interest in applications of the blockchain to healthcare and medical research. I’m not claiming that I was the first person to think about blockchain in healthcare and research, or that my blog post started the trend, but I am a little embarrassed to say that I was a part of it.

Back in 2014, being intrigued by the novelty of the blockchain was defensible. There’s a little bit of crypto-anarchist in all of us, I think. At the time, people were just starting to think about alternate applications for it, and there was still optimism that the remaining problems with the technology might still be solved. By 2016, blockchain was a bit passé—the nagging questions about its practicality that everyone thought would have been solved by that point just, weren’t. Now that it’s 2019, and the blockchain as a concept has been around for a full ten years, and I think it’s safe to say that those solutions aren’t coming.

There just aren’t any useful applications for the blockchain in medicine or science. The kinds of problems that medicine and science have are not the kinds of problems that a blockchain can solve. Even my own proposed idea from 2014 is better addressed in most cases by using a central registry of protocols.

Unfortunately, there continues to be well-funded research on blockchain applications in healthcare and science. It is a tech solution desperately in search of its problem, and millions of research funding has already been spent toward this end.

This sort of thing doesn’t just apply to “blockchain in science” stuff, although that is probably the easiest one to spot today. Big new shiny things show up in tech periodically, promising to change everything. And with surprising regularity, there is an attempt to shoehorn them into healthcare or medical research. It wasn’t too long ago that everyone thought that smartphone apps would revolutionize healthcare and research. (They didn’t!)

3. “The algorithm made me do it”

Machine learning and artificial intelligence (ML/AI) techniques have been applied to every area of healthcare and medical research you can imagine. Some of these applications are useful and appropriate. Others are poorly-conceived and potentially harmful. Here I will gesture briefly toward some ways that ML/AI techniques can be applied within medicine or science to abdicate responsibility or bolster claims where the evidence is insufficient to support them.

There’s a lot of problems that could go under this banner, but many of them stem from the “black box” nature of ML/AI techniques. The idea behind machine learning is that the algorithm “teaches itself” in some sense how to interpret the data and make inferences. And often, this means that many ML/AI techniques don’t easily allow for the person using them to audit the way that inputs into the system are turned into outputs. There is work going on in this area, but ML/AI often doesn’t lend itself well to explaining itself.

There is an episode of Star Trek, called “The Ultimate Computer,” in which Kirk’s command responsibilities are in danger of being given over to a computer called the “M-5.” As a test of the computer, Kirk is asked who he would assign to a particular task, and his answer differs slightly from the one given by the M-5. For me, my ability to suspend disbelief while watching it was most thoroughly tested when the M-5 is asked to justify why it made the decision it did, and it was able to do so.

I’ve been to the tutorials offered at a couple different institutions where they teach computer science students (or tech enthusiasts) to use the Python library for machine learning or other similar software packages. Getting an answer to “Why did the machine learning programme give me this particular answer?” is really, really hard.

Which means that potential misuses or misinterpretations are difficult to address. Once you get past a very small number of inputs, there’s rarely any thought given to trying to figure out why the software gave you the answer it did, and in some cases it becomes practically impossible to do so, even if you wanted to.

The unspoken assumption is that if you just get enough bad data points, machine learning or artificial intelligence will magically transmute them into good data points. Unfortunately, that’s not how it works.

This is dangerous because the opaque nature of ML/AI may hide invalid scientific inferences based on analyses of low-quality data, causing well-meaning researchers and clinicians who rely on robust medical evidence to provide poorer care. Decision-making algorithms may also mask the unconscious biases built into them, giving them the air of detached impartiality, but still having all the human biases of their programmers.

Techbros like Bill Gates and Elon Musk are deathly afraid of artificial intelligence because they imagine a superintelligent AI that will someday, somehow take over the world or something. (I will forego an analysis of the extreme hubris of the kind of person who needs to imagine a superhuman foe for themselves.) A bigger danger, and one that is already ongoing, is the noise and false signals that will be inserted into the medical literature, and the obscuring of the biases of the powerful that artificial intelligence represents.

Recommended reading: Weapons of Math Destruction by Cathy O’Neil.

4. Hijacking medical research to enable the whims of the wealthy “… as a service”

I was once at a dinner party with a techbro who has no education in medicine or cancer biology. I told him that I was doing my PhD on cancer drug development ethics. He told me with a straight face that he knew what “the problem with breast cancer drug development” is, and could enlighten me. I took another glass of wine as he explained to me that the real problem is that “there aren’t enough disruptors in the innovation space.”

I can’t imagine being brazen enough to tell someone who’s doing their PhD on something that I know better than them about it, but that’s techbros for you.

And beyond the obnoxiousness of this anecdote, this is an idea that is common among techbros—that medicine is being held back by “red tape” or “ethical constraints” or “vested interests” or something, and that all it would take is someone who could “disrupt the industry” to bring about innovation. They seriously believe that if they were just given the reins, they could fix any problem, even ones they are entirely unqualified to address.

For future reference, whenever a techbro talks about “disrupting an industry,” they mean: “replicating an already existing industry, but subsidizing it heavily with venture capital, and externalizing its costs at the expense of the public or potential workers by circumventing consumer-, worker- or public-protection laws in order to hopefully undercut the competition long enough to bring about regulatory capture.”

Take, for example, Peter Thiel. (Ugh, Peter Thiel.)

He famously funded offshore herpes vaccine tests in order to evade US safety regulations. He is also extremely interested in life extension research, including transfusions from healthy young blood donors. He was willing to literally suck the blood from young people in the hopes of extending his own life. And these treatments were gaining popularity, at least until the FDA made a statement warning that they were dangerous and ineffective. He also created a fellowship to enable students to drop out of college to pursue other things such as scientific research outside of the academic context. (No academic institution, no institutional review board, I suppose.)

And this is the work of just one severely misguided techbro who is able to make all kinds of shady research happen because of the level of wealth that he has been allowed to accumulate. Other techbros are leaving their mark on healthcare and research in other ways. The Gates Foundation for example, is strongly “pro-life,” which is one of the strongest arguments I can think of, for why philanthropists should instead be taxed and the funds they would have spent on their conception of the public good dispersed through democratic means, rather than allowing the personal opinions of an individual become de facto healthcare policy.

The moral compass behind this stuff is calibrated to a different North than the one most of us recognize. Maybe one could come up with a way to justify any one of these projects morally. But you can see that the underlying philosophy (“we can do anything if you’d just get your pesky ‘ethics’ out of the way”) and priorities (e.g. slightly longer life for the wealthy at the expense of the poor) are different from what we might want to be guiding medical research.

Why is this happening and what can we do to stop it?

Through a profound and repeated set of regulatory failures, and a sort of half-resigned public acceptance that techbros “deserve” on some level to have levels of wealth that are comparable with nation states, we have put them in the position where a techbro can pervert the course of entire human research programmes. Because of the massive power that they hold over industry, government and nearly every part of our lives, we have come to uncritically idolize techbros, and this has leached into the way we think about applications of their technology in medicine and science. This is, of course, a terrible mistake.

The small-picture solution is to do all the things we should be doing anyway: ethical review of all human research; peer-review and publication of research (even research done with private funds); demanding high levels of transparency for applications of new technology applied to healthcare and research; etc. A high proportion of the damage they so eagerly want to cause can probably be avoided if all our institutions are working at peak performance and nothing ever slips through the cracks.

The bigger-picture solution is that we need to fix the massive regulatory problems in the tech industry that allowed techbros to become wealthy and powerful in the first place. Certainly, a successful innovation in computer technology should be rewarded. But that reward should not include the political power to direct the course of medicine and science for their own narrow ends.

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The Grey Literature

This is the personal blog of Benjamin Gregory Carlisle PhD. Queer; Academic; Queer academic. "I'm the research fairy, here to make your academic problems disappear!"

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